# InsiderBets – Latest Polymarket big YOLO trades

Source: https://insiderbets.lol
Kiwi News: https://news.kiwistand.com/stories/InsiderBets-Latest-Polymarket-big-YOLO-trades?index=0x66a0114d24367efca14aadda2dba0c9afa0cfa7960e153596c9aeb352a84a44eacc353d0
Submitted by svj.eth on 2024-07-23 UTC, 4 upvotes, 1 comment

## Comments

**macbudkowski.eth**: This is great. 

Prediction markets are very effective at expanding my thinking.

It's so easy to be "sure that X gonna happen", that I can sometimes overlook all low-probability scenarios, and not analyze them carefully enough. Seeing that someone bets serious money on these improbable outcomes makes me re-think my priors. 

It already happened when I looked at the odds of Biden not running for president, and I assume it's going to happen again.