# quick thoughts on things we may see in 2025

Source: https://x.com/scottbelsky/status/1873493196048597050
Kiwi News: https://news.kiwistand.com/stories/quick-thoughts-on-things-we-may-see-in-2025?index=0x67803347fd655b3a8fe91640954496d706110c72453151e8be89377083bf230ddcc839c6
Submitted by 0x4DD0...85D9 on 2025-01-09 UTC, 1 upvote, 0 comments

## Summary

Forecasts for 2025 hold that a new wave of investigative journalists and researchers will break news via betting markets rather than through advertising- or click-funded mainstream outlets. The argument rests on the claim that betting markets were, in most cases, more accurate than professional polling and news reports of voting trends in the election. It also holds that social media spreads false information without disincentive, while people act differently when money is on the line. The claim further predicts new tech-enabled betting markets and sleuths who become wealthy by sourcing proprietary insights.

## Article

quick thoughts on things we may see in 2025…

(1) A new wave of investigative journalists will break news via betting markets.

We learned in the election that betting markets are, in most cases, more accurate than professional polling and news reports of voting trends. While there seems to be no disincentive for spreading false information these days on social media, people act differently when money is on the line. The general population may benefit from bottom-line-driven fact checking and the use of betting markets to suss out the truth of what is really happening. I think we’ll see new types of tech-enabled betting markets AND a new cohort of investigative journalists and researchers become wealthy news sleuths by sourcing proprietary insights and breaking the news via betting markets as opposed to mainstream news outlets that are funded via advertising/clicks.