# @Domahhhh: Polymarket trader w\ insider knowledge made $134k on Israeli strikes

Source: https://x.com/Domahhhh/status/1933547513790767550

## Summary

A Reddit-style thread argues that a Polymarket trader with insider knowledge profited about $134,000 ahead of an Israeli strike. The poster says the account was created about 24 hours before the attack, began buying heavily about 12 hours before it, traded only one market, and withdrew the winnings after the win. The poster also says this pattern has appeared three times in a row for Israeli strikes: on Iran in October 2024, on the Houthis a month or two earlier, and on the most recent strike. The poster concludes there is probably an intelligence leak somewhere.

## Article

Gets more interesting than this -- there is possibly/probably a leak somewhere. The price started inching higher 12 hours BEFORE the strike.

There are signs that a Polymarket trader, with insider knowledge, is buying tons of shares ahead of Israeli strikes. The person (or group) creates a new account each time. Chatter started among traders yesterday morning about a strike given the new account buying again.

Last night's win was $134,000. The account was created ~24 hours before the attack, started buying massively ~12 hours before the attack. Only traded 1 market. After the win, withdrew the money, and Keyser Soze'd right out of there.

I almost never think its an insider. But this has now happened 3x in a row for Israeli strikes -- when Israel struck Iran in October 2024, when Israel struck the Houthis a month or two ago, and again for yesterday's strike. There's an intel leak somewhere.