# Jack Clark: AI Nobel discovery in 12 months, recursive self-improvement by 2028

Source: https://farcaster.xyz/kazani/0xfaaa07e0
Kiwi News: https://news.kiwistand.com/stories/Jack-Clark-AI-Nobel-discovery-in-12-months-recursive-self-improvement-by-2028?index=0x6a116bc7a49c148674cce1649992f1eab764d8001adfde2750ddecbf082a5d25801e9734
Submitted by @kazani on 2026-05-23 UTC, 1 upvote, 0 comments

## Summary

Jack Clark, co-founder of Anthropic, predicts that AI will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months, working collaboratively with humans. He also predicts that bipedal robots will help with enterprise work ("tradespeople") in two years, and that AI systems will be able to design their own successors by year-end 2028, which he calls recursive self-improvement (RSI). He further predicts that companies run solely by AI will generate millions of USD in revenue within 18 months. His most conservative prediction is that large parts of the economy and society will undergo profound changes.

## Article

Jack Clark, co-founder of Anthropic:

- AI will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months (working collaboratively with humans)

- Bipedal robots will help with enterprise work ("tradespeople") in 2 years

- AI systems will be able to design their own successors by year-end 2028 (i.e., RSI)

- Companies run solely by AI will be generating millions of USD in revenue within 18 months

- Clark's most conservative prediction is that vast swathes of the economy and society will go through profound changes, potentially including "a machine economy decoupling from the human economy, robots gaining brains, science progressing without humans, and scientific equipment that people hadn't conceived of but which worked".

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/may/21/ai-nobel-prize-winning-discovery-robots-jack-clark-anthropic