Jack Clark: AI Nobel discovery in 12 months, recursive self-improvement by 2028

Jack Clark, co-founder of Anthropic, predicts that AI will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months, working collaboratively with humans. He also predicts that bipedal robots will help with enterprise work ("tradespeople") in two years, and that AI systems will be able to design their own successors by year-end 2028, which he calls recursive self-improvement (RSI). He further predicts that companies run solely by AI will generate millions of USD in revenue within 18 months. His most conservative prediction is that large parts of the economy and society will undergo profound changes.