Many Other Shoes Are Dropping

The author argues that 2024 is an unusually exciting year because many narrative arcs at different time scales are reaching their "other shoe drops" at once, though this is only about 30-40% of the overall narrative energy. The Trump/Biden election is cited as the other shoe dropping on the Great Weirding arc, and India's election, with its chastening message for the BJP, is cited as closing a 2014-24 span. Crypto, after 4-5 boom-bust cycles since 2009, faces tests of geopolitics, economics and product potential, while AI is moving from foundational capability gains to productization, marked by Apple's entry. The author also says the writing life of blogging, which began about 25 years ago, may be ending.