Writes and Write-Nots

Paul Graham predicts that in a couple of decades few people will be able to write, because AI removes the pressure to learn writing while writing remains fundamentally tied to clear thinking. He argues that the middle ground between good writers and people who cannot write will disappear, leaving a world of "writes and write-nots" that he says is dangerous because writing is thinking. He compares this to physical strength, which now requires deliberate exercise, and concludes that only people who choose to write will remain sharp.