quick thoughts on things we may see in 2025

quick thoughts on things we may see in 2025… (1) A new wave of investigative journalists will break news via betting markets. We learned in the election that betting markets are, in most cases, more accurate than professional polling and news reports of voting trends. While there seems to be no disincentive for spreading false information these days on social media, people act differently when money is on the line. The general population may benefit from bottom-line-driven fact checking and the use of betting markets to suss out the truth of what is really happening. I think we’ll see new types of tech-enabled betting markets AND a new cohort of investigative journalists and researchers become wealthy news sleuths by sourcing proprietary insights and breaking the news via betting markets as opposed to mainstream news outlets that are funded via advertising/clicks.