Solaris (1972) vs Solaris (2002)

Technologists often miss the second-order effects that slow positive feedback loops, so AI may take longer to reshape society than the AI-2027 scenario suggests. Vitalik Buterin notes that if the length of tasks AIs can complete autonomously keeps doubling roughly every seven months, they could operate for the equivalent of a whole human career by the mid-2030s. Anu Atluru describes "local social craft," meaning community-building work like hosting salons or running paint nights, as a kind of work AI is unlikely to dominate. Derek Thompson, citing Marc Dunkelman, argues that the "middle ring" of community in American social life has atrophied.